If Cristiano Ronaldo is going to qualify for what could be his final World Cup in 2022, Portugal will need to survive two single-elimination playoff matches in Europe. And the path will not be an easy one after the draw held on Friday, Nov. 26.
Portugal will host No. 37-ranked Turkey in one knockout semifinal and if it advances, it will host the winner of the Italy vs. North Macedonia semifinal. Should both Italy and Portugal advance, they will face off for a ticket to the World Cup. What’s certain is that both will not make it.
The 36-year-old Ronaldo and his Portugal side are in this position after a shock home loss to Serbia in the final group-stage match. That result allowed Serbia to overtake them for first place, leaving them in second place and relegating them to the playoff. That’s after Ronaldo had essentially guaranteed prior to the match that Portugal would make the 2022 FIFA World Cup.
If Portugal can’t survive both playoff knockout matches played in late March, Portugal would miss out on the World Cup for the first time since 1998.
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European qualifying Group A final standings
- Serbia: 20 points
- Portugal: 17
- Republic of Ireland: 9
- Luxembourg: 9
- Azerbaijan: 1
Ronaldo was visibly unhappy with his Portugal head coach Fernando Santos following the match:
How Europe’s World Cup playoffs work
Twelve European nations — the 10 second-place group finishers and two UEFA Nations League group winners (Austria and Czech Republic) — will be doing battle for three World Cup spots. They were split into three brackets of four teams each, and each of those three brackets will have a single World Cup ticket on the line (home teams listed first below).
Bracket (Path) A (1 World Cup berth)
|Thurs/Fri, March 24/25||Semi #1: Scotland vs. Ukraine|
|Thurs/Fri, March 24/25||Semi #2: Wales vs. Austria|
|Mon/Tues, March 28/29||Final (Wales or Austria will host)|
Bracket (Path) B (1 World Cup berth)
|Thurs/Fri, March 24/25||Semi #1: Russia vs. Poland|
|Thurs/Fri, March 24/25||Semi #2: Sweden vs. Czech Republic|
|Mon/Tues, March 28/29||Final (Russia or Poland will host)|
Bracket (Path) C (1 World Cup berth)
|Thurs/Fri, March 24/25||Semi #1: Italy vs. North Macedonia|
|Thurs/Fri, March 24/25||Semi #2: Portugal vs. Turkey|
|Mon/Tues, March 28/29||Final (Portugal or Turkey will host)|
Portugal last qualified via the playoff for the 2014 World Cup. The European playoff format back then was based on a two-match series in which Portugal got past Sweden in an epic duel between Ronaldo and Zlatan Ibrahimovic.
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Ronaldo is attempting to make his fifth World Cup, having qualified for the last four in a row with Portugal. His nation seemed to be cruising to first place in Group A, only to draw the Republic of Ireland 0-0 and then lose to Serbia at home in its final two matches.
It was after that 0-0 draw in Dublin that Ronaldo felt compelled to assure Portuguese national team fans that qualification would happen at home in the final game against Serbia. “On Sunday, in front of our fans at home, we’re going to book our place in the Qatar World Cup,” read the final line (translated from Portuguese) of his Instagram post to his 366 million followers.
Ronaldo was more measured and even more poetic in his Instagram message to fans following the Serbia debacle.
“Football has shown us time and time again that sometimes the most difficult paths are the ones that lead us to the most desired outcomes,” read a translated version of his post the day after the loss to Serbia. “Yesterday’s result was tough, but not tough enough to get us down. The goal of being in the 2022 World Cup is still very much alive and we know what we have to do to get there. No excuses. Portugal on the road to Qatar.”